Awards & Nominations

Space MMADam team has received the following awards and nominations. Way to go!

Global Nominee

From warming to famine in 100 years

High-Level Project Summary

According to NASA, the global temperature in the world rose by 1.1 degrees. But this warming occurred unevenly for different countries. In some countries, the warming process is happening faster than in others. Ukraine is one of such countries. Our goal is to investigate the impact of climate change on the agriculture of Ukraine using the MODIS satellite, because Ukraine is one of the largest suppliers of grain and other crops in the world.In our project, we demonstrate the dependence between high temperature and the change of climatiс zones. It can be used for quick detection of risk zones and implementation of soil safety measures in Ukraine.

Link to Final Project

Detailed Project Description

Our team’s goal is to study the impact of climate change on agriculture in Ukraine and on food security in the world in future.

Using open satellite products from NASA, humanity has the opportunity to assess the impact of increasing average annual air temperature at the global level. According to the latest scientific research by NASA, climate change may affect the production of corn and wheat as early as 2030 under the scenario of high greenhouse gas emissions. Corn yields, for example, are expected to drop by 24% from current levels - a loss of corn crops worth $65 billion annually.


Such estimates are averaged at the world level. We propose an assessment of the impact of climate on the example of Ukraine, using country level crop type classification maps and the possibility of assessing the real areas of crops.

In our research, we used crop classification maps that were built using neural network approaches to time series satellite data from the European Space Agency's Copernicus program.



Based on these maps, we have create a very important conclusion: only 7 southern regions of Ukraine sow the same area of cereal crops (3.7 million ha ~ 50% of the entire area) and sunflower (3.3 million ha ~ 52% of the entire area), as the remaining 17 regions.


According to the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, over the past decades, there has been an actual shift in the boundaries of the country's natural and climatic zones by 100...150 km to the north.

So, the temperature increases by at least half a degree every 10 years, and an approximate forecast based on MODIS data for the year 2100 is presented on the graph.

It is in the south that the temperature increases the most over the years. With this trend, by 2100 the average temperature for the decade will increase to 23.2 degrees, which will lead to significant losses in agriculture and the inability to use agricultural land efficiently.



Over the past few years, problems with crop loss have already begun in the southern regions due to drought, in particular in 2020 in the Odesa region, where a significant harvest of winter crops was lost due to drought on an area of 340,000 hectares. The yield of cereals in the Odesa region in 2020 has decreased by half compared to previous years.


Climate change also has a partially positive effect - in particular, in some parts of our country, during one growing season, it became possible to grow two crops on 1 field. However, such approaches negatively affect the productivity of the land and its resources.

Demo of our application - https://hannayailymova16.users.earthengine.app/view/spaceappschallenge


Hackathon Journey

We, students (and not only), who are related to the Igor Sikorsky National Technical University of Ukraine, on the initiative of the professor of the Department of Mathematical Methods of Data Analysis, decided to participate in the Space App challenge for the first time. Almost without knowing each other before the start of work on the project, we were able to find a connection with each other to set up productive work.


Frankly speaking, we took the "How climate affects us" challenge because it seemed pretty simple to us in the beginning. It suited us because we didn't have much experience developing large-scale applications. But only during the direct research of the topic we understood all its depth. And we completely immersed ourselves in it, analyzing in detail all the intricacies of the problem before us.

Tags

#climate #change #Ukraine #agriculture #crops #famine #mmadam_team